[ET-OCPS] Expert Team on Operational Climate Prediction System (17-19 Sept. 2024)

The third session of the WMO Commission for Observation, Infrastructure and Information Systems (INFCOM-3) was held in Geneva, Switzerland from 15 to 19 April 2024. At this session, INFCOM decided to establish the Standing Committee on the WMO Integrated Processing and Prediction System (SC-WIPPS) to address high priority tasks, including those aimed at supporting the Early Warnings for All initiative. These tasks will result in enhancing the predictability     in sub-seasonal to decadal climate prediction and better meeting user requirements on climate prediction and climate reanalysis. These have been outlined in a workplan of SC-WIPPS for 2024-2025 and will be undertaken by its subsidiary body, ET-OCPS.

ET-OCPS is responsible for scientific and technical coordination pertinent to climate prediction with the aim of further evolving the WMO Integrated Processing and Prediction System (WIPPS), including functions and products of relevant WIPPS Designated Centres. ET-OCPS will deliberate on and refine the workplan, breaking it down into action plans that emphasize the provision of newly adopted recommended climate products, and a demonstration plan for the WIPPS Rolling Review of User Requirements in climatology category, with associated timelines. ET-OCPS will also consider anticipated challenges, their mitigation measures, and the capabilities of each relevant WIPPS Designated Centre while conducting action plans. The discussions will also encompass two newly adopted WIPPS activities during INFCOM-3: global climate reanalysis and the coordination of assessment of multiple climate reanalysis, and designated centres.

The provisional meeting agenda can be found on the following link. Click here for the draft agenda.

The local information can be found on the following link. Click here for local information.

 

Day 1: Tuesday, 17 September 2024

Time (CET) Agenda items Presenters
08:30-09:00  Meeting registration  
09:00-09:30

 1.    OPENING - Secretariat

 1.1  Welcome remarks   

  • ET-OCPS - Arun KUMAR & Caio COELHO
  • CMCC - Antonio NAVARRA
  • WMO - Yuki HONDA

 1.2 Roundtable introductions

2.     ORGANIZATION OF THE MEETING - Arun KUMAR

2.1  Adoption of the agenda 

2.2  Working arrangements 

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

09:30-11:00

 3.     REPORTS ON THE ACTIVITIES OF THE RELEVANT CONSTITUENT BODIES – Arun KUMAR 

 3.1   Overall outcomes of SERCOM-3 (Bali, 4-9 March 2024), INFCOM-3 (Geneva, 15-19 April 2024and EC-78 (Geneva, 10-14 June 2024) 

 3.2   Demonstration of the WMO Integrated Processing and Prediction System Rolling Review of Requirements

 4.     STATUS AND PROGRESS REPORTS - Arun KUMAR

 4.1   Review of action items from the meeting of ET-OCPS-2 (Lisbon, Portugal, 19-23 September 2022)

 

 Secretariat

 

 Secretariat

 

 All members

10:00-11:30  Health break  
11:30-13:00

 4.2   Summary of GPC-SP systems 

 4.3   Status of LC-SSPMME

 4.4   Status of LC-SPMME

 Caio COELHO

 Laura FERRANTI

 Juyoun LIM

13:00-14:00  Lunch break  
14:00-14:30   4.5    Status of LC-ADCP  Jeff KNIGHT
14:00-15:30

 5.     ENHANCEMENT OF SUB-SEASONAL PREDICTION ACTIVITIES  – Caio COELHO

        5.1   Sub-seasonal prediction verification and planned contents 

 5.2   Plan for providing recommended products of sub-seasonal and seasonal prediction and display them on LCs’ website

 

 Laura FERRANTI

 All members

15:30-16:00  Health break  
16:00-17:00

 5.2   Plan for providing recommended products of sub-seasonal and seasonal prediction and display them on LCs’ website - cont.

 All members

 

Day 2: Wednesday, 18 September 2024

Time (CET) Agenda items Presenters
09:00-09:30  5.3    Enhancing the efficiency of GSCU production   Arun KUMAR
09:30-10:30

 6.     OPERATIONALIZATION OF NEWLY DESIGNED WIPPS CENTRES - Arun KUMAR 

 6.1    Status and plans of four GPCs-SP Beijing, CPTEC (Brazil), Moscow and Tokyo

 Peiqun ZHANG,     Caio COELHO,   Mikhail TOLSTYKH,   Yuhei TAKAYA

10:30-11:00

 6.2    Status and plans of two centres conducting global climate reanalysis (GCRs) ECMWF and NASA (USA)

 Carlo BUONTEMPO   Michael BOSILOVICH

11:00-11:30  Health break  
11:30-12:00

 6.3   Status and plan of Lead centre for coordination of assessment of multi climate reanalysis (LC-GCR) ECMWF including the development/refinement of the evaluation metrics for climate reanalysis

 Carlo BUONTEMPO
12:00-13:00

 7.     COMPLIANCE REVIEW - Arun KUMAR 

 7.1   Establishment of criteria for centre’s compliance: conformity, major and minor- non-conformity for GPCs-SP

 7.2    Develop the draft of the consolidated review report of GPC-SP

 

 Arun KUMAR

 Arun KUMAR

13:00-14:00  Lunch break  
14:00-14:30

 7.3    Plan and status of other centres compliance review: LC-SPMME, GPCs-ADCP and LC-ADCP – Arun KUMAR

 Arun KUMAR
14:30-15:00

 8.   CROSS-CUTTING ISSUES WITH SERCOM/SC-CLI - Caio COELHO

 8.1     Plan for demonstrating the WIPPS Rolling Review of Requirements (RRR) with SC-CLI

 

Arun KUMAR and Kumar KOLLI

15:00-17:00  10.5    Visit ECMWF Data Centre  

 

Day 3: Thursday, 19 September 2024

Time (CET) Agenda items Presenters
09:00-11:00

 8.2    Review of action items from OCP-3 and initial discussion on plans for OCP-4

 8.3    Linkages and support for Third Pole RCC Network (TPRCC-N) activities in Regions II

 8.4    Discussion on the integration of CSIS into the WIPPS

 8.5    Update on the guidance documents on SSF and RCF operations

 Secretariat

 Secretariat

 Kumar KOLLI

 Kumar KOLLI

11:00-11:30  Health break  
11:30-13:00

 8.6   Discussion on potential improvements to GSCU and GADCU - Kumar KOLLI

 8.7    Update on proposed WMO mechanism for ENSO information initially as a non-WIPPS activity (subject to EC approval of SERCOM-3 recommendation) - Kumar KOLLI

 9.     WORK PLAN FOR THE NEXT INTERSESSIONAL PERIOD - Arun KUMAR

 9.1    Plan to address requested WIPPS products and related activities from other Earth system domains –

 9.2    Future evolution of WIPPS Designated Centres conducting climate prediction across sub-seasonal to decadal time scale –

 Kumar KOLLI

 

 Kumar KOLLI

 

 

 Arun KUMAR

 Arun KUMAR 

13:00-14:00  Lunch break  
14:00-15:30

 9.3    Review of ET-OCPS relevant RSMCs in the Manual on WIPPS and the Guide to WIPPS and recommending changes as necessary

 9.4    Strategies for increasing the nimbleness of SP, SSP, and ADCP Infrastructure to meet user requirements

10. OTHER RELEVANT BUSINESS - Arun KUMAR

 10.1  Status and plans for WIGOS RRR regarding Sub-seasonal to Longer Predictions (SSLP)

 10.2  Collaboration with WCRP including emerging technologies such as AI

 Secretariat

 Arun KUMAR

 

 

 Jeff KNIGHT

 Secretariat & Yuhei TAKAYA

15:30-16:00  Health break  
16:00-16:30

 10.3   Future Membership of ET-OCPS - Secretariat

 10.4   Next meeting

 Secretariat

 Secretariat

16:30-17:00  11.     CLOSING - Arun KUMAR