The World Weather Open Science Conference

 

Presentations
(17 August 2014)

 

WW-JPL02 - 08:30 - 10:00
Chairs: Laurent Dubus and Beth Ebert

08:30 WW-JPL02.01 - Why should we be concerned about meteorological impacts on our energy systems?
Alberto Troccoli1, Laurent Dubus2, 1CSIRO, Canberra, Australia, 2EDF, Chatou, France

09:15 WW-JPL02.02 - Advances and prospects in assimilation of weather and climate observations
Jean-Noel Thepaut1, 1ECMWF, Reading, UK

SCI-PS101- 10:30 - 12:00
ISS - Land-Atmosphere interactions and water cycle
Chair: Christa Peters-Lidard

10:30 SCI-PS101.01 - Water cycle prediction at the regional scale: on the importance of being consistent
Vincent Fortin1, Al Pietroniro2, Pierre Pellerin1, 1Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 2Water and Climate Services, Environment Canada, Saskatoon, Canada

11:00 SCI-PS101.02 - Land-atmosphere feedbacks over North America: How well do weather and climate models represent reality?
Paul Dirmeyer1, Ahmed Tawfik2, 1George Mason University, Fairfax, USA, 2Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, USA

11:20 SCI-PS101.03 - Using temporal changes in drought indices to provide drought early warning over sub-seasonal time scales
Jason Otkin1, Martha Anderson2, Chris Hain3, Mark Svoboda4, 1University of Wisconsin, Madison, USA, 2U.S. Department of Agriculture, Beltsville, USA, 3University of Maryland, College Park, USA, 4University of Nebraska, Lincoln, USA

11:40 SCI-PS101.04 - Daily local coupling and predicting convective initiation
Ahmed Tawfik1, Paul Dirmeyer1, 1George Mason University, Fairfax, USA

SCI-PS102 - 10:30 - 12:00
NPE - Cross-cutting research on verification techniques
Chair: Barbara Casati

10:30 SCI-PS102.01 - User-focused approaches for forecast evaluation
Barbara Brown1, Jeff Lazo1, Elizabeth Ebert2, 1NCAR, Boulder, USA, 2CAWCR, Melbourne, Australia

11:00 SCI-PS102.02 - Object-based spatial verification for multiple purposes
Beth Ebert1, Lawrence Rikus1, Aurel Moise1, Ying Jun Chen2, Raghavendra Ashrit3, 1Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Australia, 2University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia, 3National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Noida, India

11:20 SCI-PS102.03 - Verifying deterministic and probabilistic forecasts of objectively clustered weather regimes.
Ric Crocker1, Robert Neal1, David Fereday1, 1Met Office, Exeter, UK

11:40 SCI-PS102.04 - Narrowing the “Valley of Death” by facilitating R2O
Maria Pirone1, Stephen Marley1, 1Harris Corporation, Washington, USA

SCI-PS103 10:30 - 12:00
Data assimilation methodology and diagnostic tools
Chair: Theresa Bick

10:30 SCI-PS103.01 - Can four-dimensional ensemble variational assimilation match four-dimensional variational assimilation for Numerical Weather Prediction?
Andrew Lorenc1, Neill Bowler1, Adam Clayton1, David Fairbairn2, Stephen Pring1, 1Met Office, Exeter, UK, 2Meteo-France, Toulouse, France

11:00 SCI-PS103.02 - Convection-permitting forecasts initialized with limited-area 3DVAR, ensemble Kalman filter, and “hybrid” variational-ensemble data assimilation systems
Craig Schwartz1, Zhiquan Liu1, 1NCAR, Boulder, USA

11:20 SCI-PS103.03 - Implementation of 4D ensemble-variational data assimilation for global deterministic NWP
Mark Buehner1, Ron McTaggart-Cowan2, 1Data Assimilation and Satellite Meteorology Research, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 2Numerical Weather Prediction Research, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada

11:40 SCI-PS103.04 - An EnVar-based data assimilation scheme for the Canadian Regional Deterministic Prediction System
Jean-François Caron1, Thomas Milewski2, Luc Fillion1, Mateusz Reszka2, Mark Buehner1, Stephen Macpherson1, 1Data Assimilation and Satellite Meteorology Research Section, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 2Data Assimilation and Quality Control Development Section , Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada

SCI-PS104 - 10:30 - 12:00
ODA - THORPEX field campaigns
Chair: Maxi Boettcher

10:30 SCI-PS104.01 - The THORPEX Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) and affiliated programs: objectives, results, and implications
Patrick Harr1, Sarah Jones2, David Parsons3, 1Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, USA, 2DWD, Frankfurt, Germany, 3University of Oklahoma, Norman, USA

11:00 SCI-PS104.02 - Reviewing the Greenland flow distortion experiment: Forecast sensitivity to observational error and steep orography
Ian Renfrew1, Emma Irvine2, Sue Gray2, John Methven2, Nina Petersen3, 1UEA, Norwich, UK, 2University of Reading, UK, 3Icelandic Met Office, Iceland

11:20 SCI-PS104.03 - Distinguishing the cold conveyor belt and sting jet air streams in an intense extratropical cyclone
Oscar Martinez-Alvarado1, Laura Baker1, Suzanne Gray1, John Methven1, Robert Plant1, 1University of Reading, Reading, U.K.

11:40 SCI-PS104.04 - First results from the HyMeX-SOP1 field campaign dedicated to Mediterranean heavy precipitation and flash-floods
Véronique Ducrocq1, François Bouttier1, Julien Delanoe2, Fanny Duffourg1, Cyrille Flamant2, Evelyn Freney3, Olivier Nuissier1, Jean-Pierre Pinty4, Benoit Vie1, Béatrice Vincendon1, 1CNRM-GAME (Météo-France & CNRS), Toulouse, France, 2IPSL/LATMOS (CNRS/UPMC/UVSQ), Guyancourt, France, 3LAMP (CNRS/OPGC), Aubière, France, 4LA
(CNRS/UPS), Toulouse, France

SCI-PS105 - 10:30 - 12:00
New technologies and observation instrumentation innovations: from urban to global scales.
Chair: Johannes Schmetz

10:30 SCI-PS105.01 - Achievements and challenges for atmospheric observations from micro- to meso-scales
Mathias Rotach1, 1University of Innsbruck, Institute of Meteorology and Geophysics, Innsbruck, Austria

11:00 SCI-PS105.02 - Nineteen-Year (1996-2014), high-quality, high vertical resolution GPS dropsonde observations for weather research
Junhong (June) Wang1,2, Terry Hock1, Steve Cohn1, Kate Young1, 1NCAR/EOL, Boulder, USA, 2SUNY Albany, Albany, USA

11:20 SCI-PS105.03 - GlobalSense: Next Generation, In situ observing system based on large ensembles of airborne probes
John Manobianco1, John Zack1, 1MESO Inc, Troy, USA

11:40 SCI-PS105.04 - The Quebec climate monitoring program
Onil Bergeron1, 1Ministère du Développement durable, de l'Environnement, de la Faune et des Parcs, Québec, Canada

SCI-PS106 - 10:30 - 12:00
ODA - Observations and their assimilation in global to convective scale models
Chair: Ron Gelaro

10:30 SCI-PS106.01 - The use of observations in global Numerical Weather Prediction
Florence Rabier1, Nathalie Boullot2, Carla Cardinali1, Fatima Karbou2, Jean- Francois Mahfouf2, Jean-Noel Thepaut1, 1ECMWF, Reading, UK, 2CNRM- GAME, Meteo-France and CNRS, Toulouse, France

11:00 SCI-PS106.02 - Assimilating cloud affected infrared radiances at the Met Office
Ed Pavelin1, Roger Saunders1, 1Met Office, Exeter, U.K.

11:20 SCI-PS106.03 - Observation contribution in the analysis of CPTEC/INPE G3DVAR
Fabio Diniz1, Dirceu Herdies1, 1CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil

11:40 SCI-PS106.04 - A WRF-based mixed variational and nudging assimilation scheme for US Army convection-scale nowcasting
Robert Dumais, Jr.,1, Brian Reen1, Jeffrey Smith1, David Knapp1, Huaqing Cai2, 1US Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, USA, 2Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Las Cruces, USA

SCI-PS107 - 10:30 - 12:00
P&P - Atmospheric and oceanic composition (processes, physics, modelling)
Chair: Kristina Lundgren

10:30 SCI-PS107.01 - Evaluating the impact of aerosols on numerical weather prediction
Arlindo daSilva1, Saulo Freitas2, Angela Benedetti3, 1NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, USA, 2Center for Weather Prediction and Climate Forecast (CPTEC/INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 3European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Reading, UK

11:00 SCI-PS107.02 - Impact of aviation emissions on the Arctic environment – GEM-AC model simulations
Jacek W. Kaminski1, Magdalena Porebska2, Joanna Struzewska2, 1York University, Toronto, Canada, 2Warsaw University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland

11:20 SCI-PS107.03 - Does natural and anthropogenic aerosol have an impact on numerical weather prediction?
Bernhard Vogel1, Eleni Athanasopoulou2, Tobias Schad1, Daniel Rieger1, Isabel Kraut1, Heike Vogel1, 1Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany, 2National Observatory of Athens, Greece

11:40 SCI-PS107.04 - Modelling the Canadian Arctic and northern air quality using GEM-MACH
Wanmin Gong1, Stephen Beagley1, Sophie Cousineau2, Jack Chen3, Mourad Sassi2, 1Air Quality Research Division, Science and Technology Branch, Environment Canada, Downsview, Canada, 2National Prediction Operations, Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 3Marine and Ice Service, Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada, Ottawa, Canada

SCI-PS108 - 10:30 - 12:00
P&P - Clouds and radiation
Chair: Jason Milbrandt

10:30 SCI-PS108.01 - Challenges confronting cloud and radiation
Graeme L. Stephens1, 1California Institute of Technology, Pasedena, USA

11:00 SCI-PS108.02 - The influence of Cloud Radiative Effects (CRE) on the ITCZ position
Benjamin Moebis1, Bjorn Stevens1, 1Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany

11:20 SCI-PS108.03 - Information content of infrared hyperspectral data: clear-sky vs. all-sky
Yi Huang1, Louis Garand2, 1McGill University, Montreal, Canada, 2Environment Canada, Doval, Canada

11:40 SCI-PS108.04 - Aerosol-Cloud-Precipitation interactions in deep convective clouds over tropical East Africa
Joshua Ngaina1, Alfred Opere1, Joseph Ininda1, Nzioka Muthama1, 1Department of Meteorology, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya

SCI-PS109 - 10:30 - 12:00
Dynamics & predictability of middle latitude weather systems & their higher and lower latitude interactions
Chair: Heini Wernli

10:30 SCI-PS109.01 - Tropical-Extratropical interactions illuminated through adjoint studies
Carolyn Reynolds1, James Doyle1, Clark Amerault1, 1Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, USA

11:00 SCI-PS109.02 - Dynamical processes and forecast uncertainty associated with extreme weather over North America during October 2007
Benjamin Moore1, Lance Bosart1, Daniel Keyser1, 1Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, USA (exceeds size limit)

11:20 SCI-PS109.03 - Sensitivity and predictability of severe extratropical cyclones
James Doyle1, Carolyn Reynolds1, Clark Amerault1, P. Alex Reinecke1, 1NRL, Monterey, USA (exceeds size limit)

11:40 SCI-PS109.04 - Predictability of explosive cyclogenesis over the northwestern Pacific region using ensemble reanalysis
Akira Kuwano-Yoshida1, Takeshi Enomoto2, 1JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan, 2Kyoto University, Uji, Japan

SCI-PS110 - 10:30 - 12:00
P&P - Tropical cyclones and tropical convection
Chair: Gay Jane Perez

10:30 SCI-PS110.01 - Interactions between equatorial waves and tropical cyclones
Paul Roundy1, 1University at Albany, Albany, USA

11:00 SCI-PS110.02 - Tropical cyclogenesis in a tropical wave critical layer
Ali Asaadi1, Gilbert Brunet2,3, Peter M.K. Yau1, 1Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, Canada, 2Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada, Montreal, Canada, 3Met Office, Exeter, UK (exceed size limits)

11:20 SCI-PS110.03 - A climatology of central american gyres
Philippe Papin1, Lance Bosart1, Ryan Torn1, 1University at Albany, Albany, USA

11:40 SCI-PS110.04 - Idealized large eddy simulations of a tropical cyclone-like boundary layer
Benjamin Green1, Fuqing Zhang1, 1The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, USA (exceeds size limit)

SCI-PS111- 10:30 - 12:00
PPP - Polar Prediction Project
Chair: Peter Bauer

10:30 SCI-PS111.01 - Overview of the Polar Prediction Project
Thomas Jung1, 1AWI, Bremerhaven, Germany

11:00 SCI-PS111.02 - Reducing spread in climate model projections of a September
ice-free Arctic
Jiping Liu1, Mirong Song2, Radley Horton3, Yongyun Hu4, 1University at Albany, Albany, USA, 2Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China, 3Columbia University, New York, USA, 4Peking University, Beijing, China

11:20 SCI-PS111.03 - Overview of an integrated marine Arctic prediction system for METAREAs
Hal Ritchie1, Natacha Bernier2, Mark Buehner2, Tom Carrieres1, Serge Desjardins1, Luc Fillion2, Diane Johnston4, Pierre Pellerin2, Gregory Smith2, Gilles Garric5, 1Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, Canada, 2Meteorological Research Division, Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 3Canadian Ice Service, Environment Canada, Ottawa, Canada,
4Meteorological Service of Canada, Environment Canada, Downsview, Canada, 5Mercator-Océan, Toulouse, France

11:40 SCI-PS111.04 - Aircraft-based observations of turbulence fluxes over the Arctic marginal ice zone: Early results from ACCACIA
Andrew Elvidge1, Alex Weiss2, Ian Renfrew1, Ian Brooks3, Tom Lachlan- Cope2, 1UEA, Norwich, UK, 2British Antarctic Survey, UK, 3University of Leeds, UK

SCI-PS112 - 10:30 - 12:00
WHI - Development of applications in the forecasting process
Chair: Jennifer Vanos

10:30 SCI-PS112.01 - Future nowcasting systems: Lessons from the WWRP Olympic Nowcasting Projects
Paul Joe1, Tom Keenan2, Jian Jie Wang3, George Isaac1, Dmitry Kiktev4, 1Environment Canada, Toronto, Canada, 2Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Australis, 3China Meterological Administration, Beijing, China, 4Roshydromet, Moscow, Russa

11:00 SCI-PS112.02 - From minutes to days: Seamless prediction of airspace capacity degradation for air traffic management
Martin Steinheimer1, Gerardus Croonen2, Harald Ganster3, Karin Hennermann4, Rudolf Kaltenböck1, Markus Kerschbaum1, Gregor Löscher4, Juliane Petsch4, Martina Uray3, 1Austro Control, Vienna, Austria, 2AIT Austrian Institute of Technology, Vienna, Austria, 3Joanneum Research Forschungsgesellschaft, Graz, Austria, 4MeteoServe, Vienna, Austria

11:20 SCI-PS112.03 - Impact of heat stress on agricultural crops
Kyoungmi Lee1, Hyun-Suk Kang1, Jongho Lee1, 1National Institute of Meteorological Research, Jeju-do, South Korea

11:40 SCI-PS112.04 - The envisioned aviation weather services and challenges to nowcasting science
Ping-wah Li1, Pak-wai Chan1, 1Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China

UAS- PA400 - 10:30 - 12:00
Energy and transportation services, applications and decisions
Chair: Alberto Troccoli

User optimized weather and power forecasts: Fostering acceptance through dialog
Daniel Lee, V. Stauch, I. Alberts

Weather, climate & the energy sector
Laurent Dubus

Weather & transportation services in Montreal : What connection
Mr.France Bernard, France

Weather & Transportation
Sheldon Drobot

12:30 - 13:30  White Paper on IWAQFR Session
International Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research (IWAQFR)

Overview of gaps to be discussed in White Paper on ‘Integrated Meteorology & Chemistry Models’
Alexander Baklanov


UAS-PS304 - 13:30 - 15:00
Energy applications and services
Chair: Laurent Dubus

13:40 UAS-PS304.01 - Spatially seamless forecasting of wind power generation with generalized power curves
Cristian Waimann1, Pierre Pinson2, Andrea Celeste Saulo1,3, 1Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmosfera, UMI-IFAECI/CNRS, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 2Technical University of Denmark, Center for Electric Power and Energy, Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark, 3Universidad de Buenos Aires, Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos, Buenos Aires, Argentina

14:00 UAS-PS304.02 - Southern Africa's Hydro-Economy and Water Security (SAHEWS) - Integrating seasonal forecasting into decision-making
Stephen Dorling1, 1University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK

14:20 UAS-PS304.03 - Improved weather forecasts for energy operations within the German research project EWeLiNE
Kristina Lundgren1, Renate Hagedorn1, Detlev Majewski1, 1Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany

14:40 UAS-PS304.04 - National Weather Service supporting decision making in the Arctic
Eugene Petrescu1, 1NOAA / NWS / Alaska Region, Anchorage, US

UAS-PS305 - 13:30 - 15:00
Agricultural impacts, applications, and decision-making
Chair: Joseph Kapuku

13:40 UAS-PS305.01 - Agro meteorology, a need for an industrializing agriculture in the highlands of western Cameroon
Nkue Nouwezem Daniel Jude1, Mipo Tchazi Lines1, 1University of Dschang, Dschang, Cameroon

14:00 UAS-PS305.02 - Climate change adaptation of the agricultural seed business sector: A cross-country study
Md Khalid Hossain1, Sharif As-Saber1, 1RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia

14:20 UAS-PS305.03 - Farmers’ adaptive behaviour to climatic change
Betty Nabatanzi1, Dorothy Namuddu2, Emmanuel Musoke3, 1Millennium Development Consult (MDC),Mukono,Uganda, 2Grassland International Uganda (GIU))-Masaka, Uganda, 3Faculty of Social Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda

14:40 UAS-PS305.04 - Assessment of drought impacts, adaptation and mitigation measures in Maharashtra state, India
Parmeshwar Udmale1, Yutaka Ichikawa1, Hiroshi Ishidaira1, 1University of Yamanashi, Kofu, Yamanashi, Japan

SCI-PS113 - 16:30 - 18:00
ISS - Land-Atmosphere interactions and water cycle
Chair: Francois Anctil

16:30 SCI-PS113.01 - Land-atmosphere interactions, the water cycle, and climate extremes
Sonia Seneviratne1, Edouard Davin1, Peter Greve1, Lukas Gudmundsson1, Martin Hirschi1, Brigitte Mueller1, Boris Orlowsky1, Rene Orth1, 1Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

17:00 SCI-PS113.02 - Impact of land surface on subseasonal forecasting skill: Inter-model comparison
Zhichang Guo1, Paul Dirmeyer2, 1COLA, Fairfax, USA, 2GMU, Fairfax, USA

17:20 SCI-PS113.03 - Synoptic versus orographic control on stationary convective banding
Andrew Barrett1, Suzanne Gray1, Daniel Kirshbaum2, Nigel Roberts3, David Schultz4, Jonathan Fairman4, 1University of Reading, Reading, UK, 2McGill University, Montreal, Canada, 3MetOffice@Reading, Reading, UK, 4University of Manchester, Manchester, UK

17:40 SCI-PS113.04 - Field evaluation of the Maximum Entropy Production transpiration model
Anne Morais1, Annie-Claude Parent1, François Anctil1, Biljana Music2, 1Department of Civil and Water Engineering, Université Laval, Québec, Canada, 2Ouranos, Consortium on Regional Climatology and Adaptation, Montreal, Canada

SCI-PS114 - 16:30 - 18:00
ODA - Data assimilation methodology and diagnostic tools
Chair: Takemasa Miyoshi

16:30 SCI-PS114.01 - Toward improving the role of the static error covariance in hybrid 4D EnVar
Daryl Kleist1,2, Kayo Ide2, 1University of Maryland, College Park, USA, 2NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, USA

17:00 SCI-PS114.02 - Improving balance in the NCEP Hybrid Ensemble-Var data assimilation system
Catherine Thomas1,2,3, Daryl Kleist2,3, Rahul Mahajan1,2, 1I.M. Systems Group, College Park, USA, 2Environmental Modeling Center, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, College Park, USA, 3University of Maryland, College Park, USA

17:20 SCI-PS114.03 - Outer loop tests and implementation plans of Hybrid 4D EnVar for the NCEP GFS
Rahul Mahajan1,2, Daryl Kleist2, John Derber2, Jeff Whitaker3, 1IMSG, College Park, USA, 2NOAA/NCEP, College Park, USA, 3NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, USA

17:40 SCI-PS114.04 - Evaluation of cost vs. impact of Met office observing systems
Rebecca Reid1, Richard Marriott1, 1Met Office, Exeter, UK

SCI-PS115- 16:30 - 18:00
ODA - THORPEX field campaigns
Chair: Florian Harnisch

16:30 SCI-PS115.01 - The ECMWF Data Targeting System (DTS) and its use in THORPEX field campaigns
David Richardson1, Cihan Sahin1, Alexis Doerenbecher2, Sharan Majumdar3, Stefan Klink4, 1ECMWF, Reading, UK, 2CNRM-GAME, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France, 3University of Miami, Miami, USA, 4EUMETNET Observations Programme, c/o DWD, Offenbach, Germany

17:00 SCI-PS115.02 - Highlights of studies at DLR and LMU based on aircraft observations during T PARC
Martin Weissmann1, Florian Harnisch1, Kathrin Folger1, 1Hans-Ertel-Centre for Weather Research, LMU, Munich, Germany

17:20 SCI-PS115.03 - Results of airborne observations in the framework of THORPEX and an outlook to T-NAWDEX 2016
Andreas Schäfler1, Maxi Boettcher2, George Craig3, Andreas Dörnbrack1, Christian Grams2, Florian Harnisch4, Uwe Marksteiner1, Marc Rautenhaus5, Heini Wernli2, 1Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany, 2Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, 3Meteorologisches Institut, Ludwig-Maximilians-
Universität, München, Germany, 4Hans-Ertel Centre for Weather Reserach, Meteorologisches Institut, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München, Germany, 5Computer Graphics and Visualisation Group, Technische Universität München, Garching, Germany

17:40 SCI-PS115.04 - An interactive method to predict warm conveyor belt occurrence for aircraft-based field campaigns
Marc Rautenhaus1, Christian M. Grams2, Andreas Schäfler3, Rüdiger Westermann1, 1Computer Graphics and Visualization Group, Technische Universität München, Garching, Germany, 2Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, 3Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany

SCI-PS116 - 16:30 - 18:00
ODA - New technologies and observation instrumentation innovations: from urban to global scales
Chair: Susanne Crewell

16:30 SCI-PS116.01 - The OQ-Net VHF radar wind profiler network: Comparisons with winds from radiosondes and NWP models
Peter Taylor1, Wayne Hocking2, Zheng Qi Wang1, Mathew Corkum1, Shama Sharma1, Lisa Alexander1, 1Lassonde School of Engineering, York University, Toronto, Canada, 2University of Western Ontario, London, Canada

17:00 SCI-PS116.02 - Raman lidar and microwave radiometry synergy for high vertically resolved temperature and water vapor profiles
Maria Barrera-Verdejo1, Susanne Crewell1, Ulrich Löhnert1, Bjorn Stevens2, Emiliano Orlandi1, Paolo Di Girolamo3, 1Universität zu Köln, Cologne, Germany, 2Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany, 3Università della Basilicata, Potenza, Italy

17:20 SCI-PS116.03 - Continuous water vapor profiling with a diode-laser-based Differential Absorption Lidar (DIAL)
Scott Spuler1, Bruce Morley1, Kevin Repasky2, Drew Moen2, Amin Nehrir3, 1National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA, 2Montana State University, Bozeman, USA, 3NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, USA (exceeds size limit)

17:40 SCI-PS116.04 - CICERO: A cellular observing system for weather data acquisition
Thomas Yunck1, Gottfried Kirchengast2, Conrad Lautenbacher1, Marco Villa1, 1GeoOptics Inc., Pasadena, USA, 2University of Graz, Graz, Austria

SCI-PS117 - 16:30 - 18:00
ODA - Observations and their assimilation in global to convective scale models
Chair: Florence Rabier

16:30 SCI-PS117.01 - Application of satellite land measurements in improving NCEP numerical weather prediction
Weizhong Zheng1,2, Michael Ek1, Helin Wei1,2, Jesse Meng1,2, Jiarui Dong1,2, John Derber1, Xiwu Zhan3, Jicheng Liu3,4, 1NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, USA, 2IMSG at NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, USA, 3NOAA/NESDIS/STAR,
College Park, USA, 4GMU, Fairfax, USA

17:00 SCI-PS117.02 - Recent progress and perspective on the observation data use in JMA NWP
Yoshiaki Sato1, 1Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan

17:20 SCI-PS117.03 - A case study of adaptive observation technique in a UAS OSSE on hurricane track
Hongli Wang1, Yuanfu Xie2, Zoltan Toth2, 1Colorado State University, NOAA ESRL/GSD, Boulder, USA, 2NOAA ESRL/GSD, Boulder, USA

17:40 SCI-PS117.04 - Downscaling FY3-MWRI soil moisture integrating FY3- VIRR/MERSI visible/infrared data
Lixin Dong1, Shihao Tang1, 1National Satellite Meteorological Center, Beijing, China

SCI-PS118 - 16:30 - 18:00
P&P - Clouds and radiation
Chair: Graeme Stephens

16:30 SCI-PS118.01 - High definition clouds and precipitation for climate prediction results from a unified German research initiative
Florian Rauser1, 1Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany

17:00 SCI-PS118.02 - Stationary orographic cloud bands: Dynamic and sportive interests link satellite observations with mesoscale modelling
Hans Volkert1, 1DLR-IPA, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany

17:20 SCI-PS118.03 - A new approach for parameterizing cloud microphysics based on prediction of ice particle properties
Jason Milbrandt1, Hugh Morrison2, 1Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada, 2National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, USA

17:40 SCI-PS118.04 - Evaluation of coupled versus uncoupled cloud physics and radiation in WRF
Gregory Thompson1, Mukul Tewari1, Kyoko Ikeda1, Sarah Tessendorf1, Jason Otkin2, Fanyou Kong3, 1NCAR-RAL, Boulder, USA, 2CIMSS/U. Wisconsin, Madison, USA, 3OU-CAPS, Norman, USA

SCI-PS119- 16:30 - 18:00
Dynamics & predictability of middle latitude weather systems & their higher and lower latitude interactions
Chair: Jim Doyle

16:30 SCI-PS119.01 - Upscale error growth in simulations with resolved and (stochastically) parametrized convection: A comparison
Tobias Selz1, George Craig1, 1Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, München, Germany

17:00 SCI-PS119.02 - Predictability and error growth dynamics of moist baroclinic waves under varying baroclinic and convective instabilities
Yongqiang Sun1, Fuqing Zhang1, 1The Penn State University, State College, USA

17:20 SCI-PS119.03 - Diabatic processes in extratropical cyclones: Dynamics and relevance for forecast accuracy
Heini Wernli1, 1ETH, Zurich, Switzerland

17:40 SCI-PS119.04 - Impacts on extended-range predictability of midlatitude weather patterns due to recurving tropical cyclones
Patrick Harr1, Heather Archambault1, 1Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, USA

SCI-PS120 - 16:30 - 18:00
P&P - Tropical cyclones and tropical convection
Chair: Chris Davis

16:30 SCI-PS120.01 - Necessary conditions for intensification of tropical cyclones: The role of mesoscale systems and convective intensity
Edward Zipser1, 1University of Utah, Salt Lake City, USA

17:00 SCI-PS120.02 - Convective and Vortex-scale interactions during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Earl (2010)
Robert Rogers1, Paul Reasor1, Jun Zhang2, 1NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division, Miami, USA, 2Univeristy of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, USA

17:20 SCI-PS120.03 - Intensification of a sheared tropical cyclone in a WRF Simulation: The evolution of a mesovortex
Leon Nguyen1, John Molinari1, 1University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, USA

17:40 SCI-PS120.04 - Eyewall convection during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Rita (2005)
Michael Bell1, Annette Foerster1, Shannon McElhinney1, 1University of Hawaii, Honolulu, USA

SCI-PS121 - 16:30 - 18:00
WHI - Development of applications in the forecasting process
Chair: Paul Joe

16:30 SCI-PS121.01 - Mesoscale Networks and the third dimension: Historical
perspectives and future prospectus
Walter F. Dabberdt1, 1Vaisala Group, Boulder, USA

17:00 SCI-PS121.02 - Nowcasting in data sparse regions
Estelle de Coning1, Morne Gijben1, Bathobile Maseko1, Cassandra Pringle1, Louis van Hemert1, 1South African Weather Service, Pretoria, South Africa

17:20 SCI-PS121.03 - The German polarimetric weather radar network: the new radar data processing chain
Jörg Steinert1, Nils Rathmann1, Manuel Werner1, Patrick Tracksdorf1, Michael Frech2, 1DWD, Offenbach, Germany, 2DWD, Hohenpeißenberg, Germany

17:40 SCI-PS121.04 - Towards collaborative developments applied to meteorology
Sandrine Edouard1, Daniel Figueras-Nieto1, François Fortin1, Marc Klasa1, Luc Pelletier1, Guylaine Hardy1, Neil Taylor1, Philip Mann1, Maryse Beauchemin1, Gérard Croteau1, 1Environment Canada, Dorval, Canada

UAS-PS307 - 16:30 - 18:00
Transportation impacts, applications, and decision-making
Chair: Atte Harjanne

16:40 UAS-PS307.01 - Moving towards a resilient transport network for the future: integrating meteorology, engineering and social perspectives
Andrew Quinn1, 1University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK

17:00 UAS-PS307.02 - Attenuating disruptive effects of bad weather on air travel – minimizing stranded travelers
Adriaan Perrels1, Claus Doll2, Mitsakis Evangelos3, Atte Harjanne1, David Jaroszewski4, Michael Kreuz5, Kaisu Loikkanen6, Iraklis Stamos3, Anne Temme5, Anu Tuominen6, 1Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helsinki, Finland, 2Fraunhofer Institute for Systems Innovation Research, Karlsruhe, Germany, 3Hellenic Institute for Transport (CERTH-HIT), Thessaloniki, Greece, 4University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom, 5German Aerospace Centre (DLR), Braunschweig, Germany, 6Technical Research Centre of Finland (VTT), Espoo & Tampere, Finland

17:20 UAS-PS307.03 - Winter severity indices and road maintenance
Jean Andrey1, Lindsay Matthews1, Derrick Hambly1, Brian Mills2, 1University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada, 2Environment Canada, Waterloo, Canada,

17:40 UAS-PS307.04 - The Pikalert Road weather hazard forecast system
Sheldon Drobot1, 1NCAR, Boulder, CO, USA

UAS-PS308 - 16:30 - 18:00
Agricultural impacts, applications, and decision-making
Chair: Khan Rahaman

16:40 UAS-PS308.01 - Cost of climate variability and change to farmers in rural India: A spatio-temporal analysis
Mamta Mehra1, Nihar Jangle1, David Dror1, Sonu Aggarwal2, 1Micro Insurance Academy, New Delhi, India, 2Weather Risk Management Services Limited, New Delhi, India

17:00 UAS-PS308.02 - Determinants of farm-level adaptation diversity to climate extremes: Insights from farm households in India
Chandra Bahinipati1, 1Gujarat Institute of Development Research, Ahmedabad, India

17:20 UAS-PS308.03 - Integrated Interdisciplinary approach to drought risks and water management
Heather Lazrus1, Debasish PaiMazumder1, Erin Towler1, 1NCAR, Boulder, CO, USA

17:40 UAS-PS308.04 - Community-based solutions for weather-related agricultural risk mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa
Million Aytenfisu1, 1University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada

UAS-PS309 - 16:30 - 18:00
Special Session on the future of the weather enterprise
Chair: Brian Mills

16:40 UAS-PS309.01 - Unidata’s vision for Transforming Geoscience by moving data services and software to the Cloud
Mohan Ramamurthy1, 1Unidata/UCAR, Boulder, CO, USA

17:00 UAS-PS309.02 - Engaging stakeholders as part of the MSC Services Strategy
Grace Koshida1, Jamie Smith1, Ken Macdonald1, 1Environment Canada, Meteorological Service of Canada, Ottawa, Canada

17:20 UAS-PS309.03 - Providing an increasing range of CMC Numerical Environmental & Weather Prediction to expert users
Richard Hogue1, André Méthot1, 1Canadian Centre for Meteorological and Environmental Prediction, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, Canada

17:40 UAS-PS309.04 - Weather, water and food security
Tom Beer1, Jianping Li2, Keith Alverson3, 1CAWCR, Melbourne, Australia, 2Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Beijing, China, 3UNEP, Nairoi, Kenya