WMO Tropical Cyclone-Probabilistic Forecast Products (TC-PFP) Workshop

When

Day 1: Tuesday 15 June, 1230-1430 UTC
Day 2: Thursday 17 June, 1230-1430 UTC
Day 3: Friday 18 June, 1230-1430 UTC

Workshop Goal

Coordinate across RSMCs and other forecast centers to identify best practice guidance for probabilistic forecasts of TC position (including TC formation)

Registration

You can register through a Google Form. If you are unable to access this Google Form link, please contact Jason Dunion (jason.dunion at noaa.gov).

Topics Related to Probabilistic Forecast Products

Day 1: Physical Science (current and planned forecast products, etc.)
Day 2: Social Science (understanding & communicating probabilistic forecasts, etc.)
Day 3: Resources (currently available & needed resources, etc.)

Format

Overview presentations each day followed by break-out group discussions.
Virtual platform: Zoom (likely) - links will be sent as we get closer to the workshop dates.

Discussion points for the break outs will be uploaded on this page before the workshop (will be uploaded around Monday 8 June).

Overview presenters

Day 1: Andrew Burton (Australian Bureau of Meteorology, BoM), and Jonathan Vigh (National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR)
Day 2: Helen Greatrex (Penn State University), and Mark DeMaria (Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, CIRA)
Day 3: Helen Titley (Met Office in the UK), Ryan Torn (University of Albany), and Fernando Prates (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF)

Workshop presentations

Day 1 Presentations

Opening: PDF

Jonathan Vigh: PDF

Andrew Burton: PDF

Day 2 Presentations

Opening: PDF

Helen Greatrex: PDF

Mark DeMaria: PDF

Day 3 Presentations

Opening: PDF

Helen Titley: PDF

Ryan Torn: PDF

Fernando Prates: PDF

Summary: PDF