TMR STCF Western Pacific

Western North Pacific Forecasts

 

Issued May 2015

Period: January to December 2015

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
TSR
# of named TCs
27
±4
ACE
400
±87

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Issued August 2014

Period: August to November 2014

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
TSR
# of named TCs
26
±4
ACE
328
±82

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued May 2014

Period: June to November 2014

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
NOAA
# of named TCs
14
±3
# of Hurricanes
9
±2
ACE
147
±53

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Issued June 2012

Period: June to November 2012

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
ECMWF
# of named TCs
ACE

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued May 2012

Period: June to November 2012

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
ECMWF
# of named TCs
ACE

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued May 2011

Period: June to November 2011

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
ECMWF
# of named TCs
±3
ACE
±65

OBSERVED

# of named TCs = 15     ACE = 173

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued April 2011

Period: June to November 2011

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
IRI
# of named TCs
25.3
±4.4
ACE
296.6
±97

OBSERVED

# of named TCs = 15     ACE = 173

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued June 2010

Period: June to November 2010

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
IRI
# of named TCs
25
±4.5
ACE
283.5
±97
ECMWF
# of named TCs
±3.8
ACE
±64

OBSERVED

# of named TCs = 13      ACE = 129

::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued May 2010

Period: Jun to November 2010

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
ECMWF
# of named TCs
±3.2
ACE
±68

OBSERVED

# of named TCs = 13      ACE = 129

:::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::

Issued April 2010

Period: May to December 2010

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
CityU
# of named TCs
24
±2
ACE
not available
not available
IRI
# of named TCs
25.6
ACE
296.6
ECMWF
# of named TCs
±3.1
ACE
±40

OBSERVED

# of named TCs = 13      ACE = 129

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Forecast: Issued June 2009

Period: July to December 2009

Source
Variable
Prediction
Confidence Interval
CityU
# of named TCs
24
±1
IRI
# of named TCs
24.9
ACE
295.6
ECMWF
# of named TCs
23.2
±3.8
ACE
420
±97

Obs Jul-Nov 09

NTC - number of Named Tropical Cyclones

ACE - Accumulated Cyclone Energy

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IWTC-VI