Fourth Miniforum on Tropical Cyclone Outlook in the South West Indian Ocean

Thursday 26 October 2023,  0700-0830 UTC (11 am to 1230 pm La Reunion time - UTC+4) - Interpretation in French available.

Following the success of the previous ones, this Fourth Miniforum, jointly organized by WMO Regional Center for Tropical Cyclones La Réunion (France), the Indian Ocean Regional Intervention Platform (PIROI) and WMO, will provide an overview of the seasonal outlook ahead of the South West Indian Ocean tropical cyclone season for disaster risk managers and humanitarian agency practitioners.

Agenda

Opening remarks - 10 min

  1. A look back at the last season and impacts - 10 min 
  2. TC outlook –– 20 min 
    TC activity, geographical distribution, tracks, what can we say in respect of areas that may be more at risk of TC impacts 
  3. Update of the regional seasonal forecast  - outcomes of the regional Climate Outlook Forum (18-22 September 2023) -10 min 
  4. Open discussion with partners, Q/A – 40 min

Documents are available here:

Tropical cyclone seasonal forecast statement: English - Français

The seasonal forecast statement from the South-West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum - 12th session (SWICOF-12, 18-22 September 2023, Mauritius) is available in French and in English.

Background information

For the record, the First Miniforum was organized to meet the recommendation of the Ninth South West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum (SWIOCOF-9, online, 14-17 September 2020) and the request of end-users. It was in alignment with the outcome of the Technical Meeting “Tropical Cyclone impact estimation for humanitarian preparedness and response: Joining the dots” organized during the 2020 Humanitarian Networks and Partnerships Week (HNPW) by WMO, the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (EC-JRC) and the United Nations Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA).
Documents of the previous Miniforum:
First Miniforum - 16 November 2020
Second Miniforum - 28 October 2021
Third Miniforum - 27 October 2022