Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research
The JWGFVR aims to advance the development and application of improved diagnostics and verification methods to assess and monitor the quality and value of weather and environmental predictions, for time scales encompassing weather forecasts, sub-seasonal and seasonal predictions, and decadal and climate projections.
See a current list of our experts and our Terms of Reference in the Contacts Directory.
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Mission
The JWGFVR aims to advance the development and application of improved diagnostics and verification methods to assess and monitor the quality and value of weather and environmental predictions, for time scales encompassing weather forecasts, sub-seasonal and seasonal predictions, and decadal and climate projections.
- The JWGFVR engages in the planning and implementation of the verification component of WWRP projects and collaborates with the WCRP Earth System Modelling and Observations (ESMO) core working groups for verification activities within specific WGNE, WGSIP and WGCM projects. The JWGFVR also provides recommendations for the WMO Integrated Processing and Prediction System (WIPPS) verification standards for operational centers.
- The JWGFVR periodically organizes verification workshops, leads key WWRP and peer-reviewed publications and verification-focused special issues in scientific journals, coordinates international meta-verification inter-comparison projects, to facilitate the further development and advancement of verification research.
- The JWGFVR periodically organizes verification tutorials, maintains the forecast verification FAQ webpage, and facilitates the development of verification software, to promote good verification practices and facilitate technological transfer from research to operations and services, hence building a professional community in the field.
- For verification challenges common to several projects (e.g., addressing observation uncertainty and representativeness issue in verification practices), the JWGFVR should serve as catalyst, and take leadership in tackling these fundamental verification research questions, while working in concert -and favoring the communication- between the different projects and working groups involved.
- In particular, the JWGFVR addresses emerging verification topics arising from the development of data-driven AI/ML models, with a particular focus on aspects such as physical consistency and explainability. By engaging in this novel challenge, the group contributes to shaping robust evaluation strategies that ensure scientific integrity and operational trust in these new forecasting models.
Working Group Members
- Co-Chair: Barbara CASATI, Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Canada
- Co-Chair: Caio COELHO, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais INPE), Brazil
- Eric GILLELAND, National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), United States of America
- James BENNETT, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Australia
- Angie PENDERGRASS, Cornell University, United States of America
- Ramon de ELIA, Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), Argentina
- Javier GARCIA-SERRANO, University of Barcelona, Spain
- Alfred Lawrence KONDOWE, Tanzanian Meteorological Authority (TMA), Tanzania
- Zied BEN BOUALLEGUE, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), United Kingdom
- Dr Anumeha DUBE, National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), India
- Dr Sabrina WAHL, Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany
- Dr Jochen BROECKER, University of Reading, United Kingdom
- Mr Nicholas LOVEDAY, Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
Relevant information
- Bridging the gap between the spatial verification and the consistent/proper scores communities: a coordinated research project for the development of spatial verification approaches for ensembles.
- VerAI workshop: AI Models in Opertational Centres, Montreal, October 2025
- VerAI workshop on Verification of AI-Based Meteorological Forecasts, Reading 2025
- Call for papers: Special issue in Meteorological Applications on Recent Advancements in Forecast Verification Research (2024)
- 9th International Verification Method Workshop (2025)
- 9th International Verification Method Workshop and Tutorials, May 2024, Abstract Booklet
- MPE-CDT & JWGFVR: Forecast verification summer school, 21-25 June 2021, Online Verification Tutorials
- 8th International Verification Method Workshop (Barbara Casati) Casati et al (2022) BAMS meeting summary, 9-20 November 2020, Online
- Join the vx-discuss group: https://groups.google.com/a/ucar.edu/g/vx-discuss. This mailing list is a Verification Discussion Forum used to proposes discussions on verification-related research questions, and to notify the international verification community on verification-related workshops and tutorials, verification-focus scientific journal special issues, and verification research activities coordinated by the WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (JWGFVR).
- Forecast Verification FAQ Webpage
- 2nd International Verification Challenge – Seeking the Best New Verification Metrics Making Use of Non-Traditional Observations
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